Scouting Report
Anton Lundell holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Lundell on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Lundell wins 56.9% vs left-shot opponents — Matthews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundell 54.4% vs Matthews 53.2% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 51.5%
Defensive zone
Matthews 51.9%
Neutral zone
Matthews 51.6%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Lundell
Matthews
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Lundell
Matthews
Last 7: Lundell 3-4 Matthews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
0
1
Lundell
Matthews
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
0
1
Lundell
Matthews
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lundell
3
2
Lundell
Matthews
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundell
Matthews
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (768)
53.4% (1,169)
+0.9%
Power Play
65.6% (61)
65.8% (76)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
51.0% (49)
41.9% (74)
+9.1%
On penalty kill, Lundell has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Matthews shoots left. Lundell is 56.9% vs left-shot opponents (573).
Lundell shoots left. Matthews is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (841).
Home / Away
Lundell
Matthews
Home
57.3% (450)
56.5% (703)
Away
52.3% (428)
50.0% (616)
By Period
Lundell
Matthews
P1
54.3%
52.1%
P2
58.2%
54.0%
P3
52.0%
54.0%
OT
75.0%
57.7%
Final 5 min
60.6%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundell
46.0%▼
49.0%
54.9%
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2024 | 3 | 09:27 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 2 | 00:47 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 1 | 10:46 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 28, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 2 | 11:19 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 2 | 05:22 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Nov 28, 2023 | 1 | 07:58 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |