Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Kastelic on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundell 51.6% vs Kastelic 58.3% (-8.2%)
H2H factor
Kastelic leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Lundell 90.8%
Defensive zone
Lundell 70.6%
Neutral zone
Lundell 79.0%
Result
Anton Lundell favored at 78.4%
78.4%
21.6%
Lundell
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Lundell
Kastelic
Last 10: Lundell 3-7 Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lundell
2
1
Lundell
Kastelic
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
0
5
Lundell
Kastelic
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kastelic
1
2
Lundell
Kastelic
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundell
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (786)
61.2% (340)
-8.5%
Power Play
52.6% (152)
83.3% (6)
-30.7%
Penalty Kill
47.3% (182)
56.0% (141)
-8.7%
On power play, Kastelic has a +30.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Lundell is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (337).
Lundell shoots left. Kastelic is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (405).
Home / Away
Lundell
Kastelic
Home
51.0% (574)
60.9% (233)
Away
52.6% (546)
59.1% (254)
By Period
Lundell
Kastelic
P1
52.9%
58.6%
P2
55.8%
58.7%
P3
47.1%
63.1%
OT
46.2%
53.8%
Final 5 min
50.8%
67.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundell
46.0%▼
49.0%
51.8%
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
60.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2026 | OT | 01:51 | Offensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Feb 4, 2026 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 3 | 18:55 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 2 | 02:22 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 1 | 13:30 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 1 | 10:33 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 19:43 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 17:35 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 1 | 00:33 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |