Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Kastelic on defensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundell 50.7% vs Kastelic 56.5% (-6.1%)
H2H factor
Kastelic leads 14-14 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Lundell 78.8%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 73.0%
Neutral zone
Lundell 53.2%
Result
Anton Lundell favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Lundell
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
14
(28 meetings)
14
14
Lundell
Kastelic
Last 10: Lundell 3-7 Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lundell
5
2
Lundell
Kastelic
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
2
7
Lundell
Kastelic
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lundell
7
5
Lundell
Kastelic
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundell
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (3,486)
57.0% (1,613)
-5.9%
Power Play
55.6% (358)
80.0% (25)
-24.4%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (504)
53.6% (274)
-8.8%
On power play, Kastelic has a +24.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Lundell is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,457).
Lundell shoots left. Kastelic is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,420).
Home / Away
Lundell
Kastelic
Home
50.7% (2,304)
58.9% (895)
Away
50.9% (2,044)
55.1% (1,017)
By Period
Lundell
Kastelic
P1
52.0%
58.5%
P2
51.4%
56.9%
P3
49.0%
55.3%
OT
48.1%
53.8%
Final 5 min
52.0%
59.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundell
46.0%▼
49.0%
50.8%
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2026 | OT | 01:51 | Offensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Feb 4, 2026 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 3 | 18:55 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 2 | 02:22 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 1 | 13:30 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 1 | 10:33 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 19:43 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 17:35 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 1 | 00:33 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Mar 11, 2025 | 3 | 04:49 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 3 | 07:01 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Oct 8, 2024 | 2 | 09:12 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Oct 8, 2024 | 2 | 00:24 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 3 | 15:01 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 2 | 16:25 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 1 | 17:32 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |