Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Lundell on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundell 52.7% vs Kastelic 53.4% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lundell 76.5%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 65.9%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 50.8%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 54.6%
45.4%
54.6%
Lundell
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Lundell
Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
0
1
Lundell
Kastelic
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lundell
2
1
Lundell
Kastelic
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundell
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (804)
55.4% (345)
-0.8%
Power Play
50.6% (81)
50.0% (4)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (138)
35.3% (17)
+9.6%
On penalty kill, Lundell has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Lundell is 48.4% vs right-shot opponents (322).
Lundell shoots left. Kastelic is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Home / Away
Lundell
Kastelic
Home
51.2% (527)
50.6% (162)
Away
54.8% (496)
57.4% (204)
By Period
Lundell
Kastelic
P1
53.7%
61.5%
P2
51.7%
52.8%
P3
54.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.2%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundell
46.0%▼
49.0%
53.0%
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2025 | 3 | 04:49 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Oct 14, 2024 | 3 | 07:01 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Oct 8, 2024 | 2 | 09:12 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Oct 8, 2024 | 2 | 00:24 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |