Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.9% vs 54.4%). Look for Lundell on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundell 54.4% vs Kastelic 53.5% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Lundell leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Lundell 52.3%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 61.6%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 51.3%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Lundell
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
3
(11 meetings)
8
3
Lundell
Kastelic
Last 10: Lundell 7-3 Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lundell
3
1
Lundell
Kastelic
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lundell
2
0
Lundell
Kastelic
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lundell
3
2
Lundell
Kastelic
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundell
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (768)
53.4% (337)
+0.9%
Power Play
65.6% (61)
100.0% (4)
-34.4%
Penalty Kill
51.0% (49)
75.0% (8)
-24.0%
On power play, Kastelic has a +34.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Lundell is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (305).
Lundell shoots left. Kastelic is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (246).
Home / Away
Lundell
Kastelic
Home
57.3% (450)
56.2% (162)
Away
52.3% (428)
52.9% (187)
By Period
Lundell
Kastelic
P1
54.3%
58.2%
P2
58.2%
58.8%
P3
52.0%
45.4%
Final 5 min
60.6%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundell
46.0%▼
49.0%
54.9%
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2024 | 3 | 15:01 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 2 | 16:25 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 1 | 17:32 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 1 | 14:48 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 3 | 07:56 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 1 | 13:50 | Offensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 1 | 13:43 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 1 | 04:10 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 1 | 01:38 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |