Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundell 47.0% vs Kastelic 55.9% (-10.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lundell 77.8%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 75.5%
Neutral zone
Lundell 51.4%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 62.0%
38.0%
62.0%
Lundell
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Lundell
Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
0
1
Lundell
Kastelic
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lundell
1
0
Lundell
Kastelic
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundell
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (491)
58.0% (476)
-13.2%
Power Play
60.0% (40)
75.0% (8)
-15.0%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (48)
50.9% (106)
+1.2%
On power play, Kastelic has a +15.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Lundell is 47.3% vs right-shot opponents (226).
Lundell shoots left. Kastelic is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (391).
Home / Away
Lundell
Kastelic
Home
45.5% (319)
64.9% (265)
Away
47.7% (260)
50.5% (325)
By Period
Lundell
Kastelic
P1
50.8%
58.5%
P2
46.5%
55.6%
P3
41.7%
56.8%
Final 5 min
54.4%
62.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundell
46.0%▼
49.0%
46.5%
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2022 | 2 | 19:31 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 2 | 19:23 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |