Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Lundell on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Lundell wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundell 52.2% vs Frost 54.9% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 52.7%
47.3%
52.7%
Lundell
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Lundell
Frost
Last 6: Lundell 3-3 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
0
2
Lundell
Frost
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lundell
3
1
Lundell
Frost
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundell
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (646)
54.1% (521)
-0.5%
Power Play
53.1% (130)
59.6% (141)
-6.5%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (156)
100.0% (5)
-52.6%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +52.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Lundell is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (651).
Lundell shoots left. Frost is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (458).
Home / Away
Lundell
Frost
Home
51.6% (498)
57.2% (339)
Away
53.5% (434)
54.0% (328)
By Period
Lundell
Frost
P1
53.7%
58.2%
P2
55.4%
55.6%
P3
48.7%
52.9%
OT
45.5%
60.0%
Final 5 min
54.2%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundell
54.0%▼
57.0%
52.5%
Frost
74.0%▲
55.0%
55.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 07:38 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 17:27 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 17:17 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 04:21 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 04:08 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 19:17 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |