Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.8% vs 50.3%). Look for Lundell on neutral-zone draws (77% H2H, 17 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundell 50.7% vs Frost 50.3% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Lundell leads 25-14 in 39 meetings
Offensive zone
Frost 73.4%
Defensive zone
Lundell 63.4%
Neutral zone
Frost 53.4%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Lundell
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
25
-
14
(39 meetings)
25
14
Lundell
Frost
Last 10: Lundell 7-3 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
2
6
Lundell
Frost
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lundell
10
4
Lundell
Frost
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lundell
13
4
Lundell
Frost
17 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundell
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (3,486)
49.4% (3,598)
+1.7%
Power Play
55.6% (358)
55.5% (625)
+0.1%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (504)
52.8% (36)
-8.0%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Lundell is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,891).
Lundell shoots left. Frost is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,782).
Home / Away
Lundell
Frost
Home
50.7% (2,304)
51.0% (2,047)
Away
50.9% (2,044)
49.7% (2,212)
By Period
Lundell
Frost
P1
52.0%
50.8%
P2
51.4%
51.1%
P3
49.0%
48.5%
OT
48.1%
66.7%
Final 5 min
52.0%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundell
46.0%▼
49.0%
50.8%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 07:38 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 17:27 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 17:17 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 04:21 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 04:08 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 19:17 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 2 | 02:24 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 1 | 10:28 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Jan 13, 2025 | 3 | 14:36 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Jan 13, 2025 | 3 | 03:53 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Jan 13, 2025 | 3 | 03:35 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Jan 13, 2025 | 3 | 00:43 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 13, 2025 | 2 | 01:22 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Jan 13, 2025 | 1 | 17:59 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Jan 13, 2025 | 1 | 06:49 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 2 | 13:39 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 2 | 13:35 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Dec 5, 2024 | 2 | 03:00 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 2 | 13:24 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 2 | 04:36 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |