Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Lundell on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundell 45.3% vs Frost 48.7% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 68.1%
Defensive zone
Lundell 66.3%
Neutral zone
Lundell 50.9%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 53.8%
46.2%
53.8%
Lundell
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Lundell
Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
0
1
Lundell
Frost
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lundell
2
1
Lundell
Frost
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundell
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (637)
47.4% (426)
-1.6%
Power Play
58.3% (24)
63.9% (36)
-5.6%
Penalty Kill
32.2% (87)
20.0% (5)
+12.2%
On penalty kill, Lundell has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Lundell is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (481).
Lundell shoots left. Frost is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (312).
Home / Away
Lundell
Frost
Home
46.3% (434)
51.1% (221)
Away
42.4% (314)
45.9% (246)
By Period
Lundell
Frost
P1
46.6%
47.5%
P2
39.9%
52.3%
P3
47.1%
44.7%
OT
33.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
41.4%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundell
46.0%▼
49.0%
44.7%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2021 | 3 | 08:33 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 1 | 17:31 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 1 | 08:39 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 1 | 07:33 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |