Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Lundell on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Lundell wins 53.5% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundell 51.6% vs Frost 55.7% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 68.1%
Defensive zone
Lundell 72.3%
Neutral zone
Frost 51.1%
Result
Anton Lundell favored at 58.8%
58.8%
41.2%
Lundell
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Lundell
Frost
Last 6: Lundell 3-3 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
0
2
Lundell
Frost
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lundell
3
1
Lundell
Frost
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundell
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (786)
54.9% (701)
-2.2%
Power Play
52.6% (152)
60.8% (166)
-8.2%
Penalty Kill
47.3% (182)
100.0% (5)
-52.7%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +52.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Lundell is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (783).
Lundell shoots left. Frost is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (586).
Home / Away
Lundell
Frost
Home
51.0% (574)
56.0% (443)
Away
52.6% (546)
56.6% (429)
By Period
Lundell
Frost
P1
52.9%
58.9%
P2
55.8%
55.3%
P3
47.1%
54.0%
OT
46.2%
70.0%
Final 5 min
50.8%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundell
46.0%▼
49.0%
51.8%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 07:38 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 17:27 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 17:17 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 04:21 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 04:08 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 19:17 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |