Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.5% vs 45.8%). Look for Lundell on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Lundell wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundell 47.0% vs Frost 46.2% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 59.0%
Defensive zone
Lundell 52.8%
Neutral zone
Frost 59.0%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 57.3%
42.7%
57.3%
Lundell
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Lundell
Frost
Last 7: Lundell 5-2 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lundell
2
0
Lundell
Frost
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Frost
0
1
Lundell
Frost
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lundell
3
1
Lundell
Frost
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundell
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (491)
45.6% (833)
-0.8%
Power Play
60.0% (40)
46.0% (100)
+14.0%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (48)
55.6% (18)
-3.5%
On power play, Lundell has a +14.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Lundell is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Lundell shoots left. Frost is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (625).
Home / Away
Lundell
Frost
Home
45.5% (319)
47.0% (440)
Away
47.7% (260)
44.8% (511)
By Period
Lundell
Frost
P1
50.8%
42.5%
P2
46.5%
47.9%
P3
41.7%
46.6%
OT
100.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
54.4%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundell
46.0%▼
49.0%
46.5%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2022 | 1 | 11:53 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Oct 19, 2022 | 3 | 14:16 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 19, 2022 | 3 | 04:06 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Oct 19, 2022 | 3 | 03:51 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Oct 19, 2022 | 2 | 08:37 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Oct 19, 2022 | 2 | 08:34 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 19, 2022 | 1 | 17:27 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |