Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Lundell on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundell 47.0% vs Dowd 50.7% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lundell 57.2%
Defensive zone
Dowd 95.6%
Neutral zone
Dowd 81.7%
Result
Anton Lundell favored at 57.2%
57.2%
42.8%
Lundell
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
0
(4 meetings)
4
0
Lundell
Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lundell
4
0
Lundell
Dowd
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundell
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (491)
55.2% (625)
-10.4%
Power Play
60.0% (40)
57.1% (7)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (48)
38.2% (220)
+13.9%
On penalty kill, Lundell has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Lundell is 47.3% vs right-shot opponents (226).
Lundell shoots left. Dowd is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Home / Away
Lundell
Dowd
Home
45.5% (319)
53.7% (445)
Away
47.7% (260)
47.7% (407)
By Period
Lundell
Dowd
P1
50.8%
48.8%
P2
46.5%
49.3%
P3
41.7%
54.0%
OT
100.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
54.4%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundell
46.0%▼
49.0%
46.5%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 16:48 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 13:30 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 03:35 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 1 | 18:18 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |