Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.8% vs 50.7%). Look for Dowd on defensive-zone draws (91% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundell 50.7% vs Dowd 50.7% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Dowd leads 16-12 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Lundell 69.6%
Defensive zone
Lundell 50.7%
Neutral zone
Dowd 51.1%
Result
Anton Lundell favored at 59.2%
59.2%
40.8%
Lundell
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
16
(28 meetings)
12
16
Lundell
Dowd
Last 10: Lundell 5-5 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lundell
8
5
Lundell
Dowd
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
10
Lundell
Dowd
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lundell
3
1
Lundell
Dowd
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundell
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (3,486)
52.4% (6,009)
-1.3%
Power Play
55.6% (358)
56.1% (164)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (504)
44.1% (1,635)
+0.7%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Lundell is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,457).
Lundell shoots left. Dowd is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,134).
Home / Away
Lundell
Dowd
Home
50.7% (2,304)
51.9% (3,897)
Away
50.9% (2,044)
49.5% (3,912)
By Period
Lundell
Dowd
P1
52.0%
51.7%
P2
51.4%
50.4%
P3
49.0%
50.3%
OT
48.1%
45.9%
Final 5 min
52.0%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundell
46.0%▼
49.0%
50.8%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 09:10 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 3 | 08:30 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 16:35 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 14:31 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 1 | 11:50 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 14:21 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 13, 2025 | 2 | 00:41 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 15:50 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 12:53 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 1 | 12:24 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 1 | 03:37 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 3 | 07:46 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 1 | 18:16 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 07:38 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 1 | 17:49 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 3 | 04:35 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 2 | 01:16 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 16:48 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 13:30 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 03:35 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |