Scouting Report
Anton Lundell holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundell 54.4% vs Dowd 48.3% (+6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lundell 73.9%
Defensive zone
Dowd 96.0%
Neutral zone
Dowd 65.7%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 96.0%
4.0%
96.0%
Lundell
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Lundell
Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
2
Lundell
Dowd
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundell
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (768)
49.2% (778)
+5.1%
Power Play
65.6% (61)
58.3% (12)
+7.3%
Penalty Kill
51.0% (49)
44.0% (234)
+7.0%
On power play, Lundell has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Lundell is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (305).
Lundell shoots left. Dowd is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (698).
Home / Away
Lundell
Dowd
Home
57.3% (450)
46.3% (492)
Away
52.3% (428)
49.8% (532)
By Period
Lundell
Dowd
P1
54.3%
49.1%
P2
58.2%
48.2%
P3
52.0%
46.9%
OT
75.0%
71.4%
Final 5 min
60.6%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundell
46.0%▼
49.0%
54.9%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2024 | 3 | 04:35 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 2 | 01:16 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |