Scouting Report
Anton Lundell holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Lundell on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundell 52.7% vs Dowd 49.9% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lundell 91.0%
Defensive zone
Dowd 82.0%
Neutral zone
Lundell 56.8%
Result
Anton Lundell favored at 59.9%
59.9%
40.1%
Lundell
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Lundell
Dowd
Last 8: Lundell 5-3 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lundell
2
1
Lundell
Dowd
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
2
Lundell
Dowd
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lundell
3
0
Lundell
Dowd
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundell
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (804)
52.2% (835)
+2.4%
Power Play
50.6% (81)
60.0% (10)
-9.4%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (138)
44.0% (350)
+0.9%
On power play, Dowd has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Lundell is 48.4% vs right-shot opponents (322).
Lundell shoots left. Dowd is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Home / Away
Lundell
Dowd
Home
51.2% (527)
51.5% (619)
Away
54.8% (496)
48.1% (576)
By Period
Lundell
Dowd
P1
53.7%
51.7%
P2
51.7%
51.6%
P3
54.1%
47.0%
OT
20.0%
22.2%
Final 5 min
53.2%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundell
46.0%▼
49.0%
53.0%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 15:50 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 12:53 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 1 | 12:24 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 1 | 03:37 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 3 | 07:46 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Feb 4, 2025 | 1 | 18:16 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 3 | 07:38 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 25, 2024 | 1 | 17:49 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |