Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundell 45.3% vs Paul 50.4% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lundell 62.1%
Defensive zone
Lundell 53.0%
Neutral zone
Lundell 54.0%
Result
Anton Lundell favored at 56.0%
56.0%
44.0%
Lundell
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Lundell
Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lundell
1
0
Lundell
Paul
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
2
Lundell
Paul
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundell
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (637)
53.0% (644)
-7.2%
Power Play
58.3% (24)
37.5% (24)
+20.8%
Penalty Kill
32.2% (87)
42.9% (177)
-10.7%
On power play, Lundell has a +20.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Lundell is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (481).
Lundell shoots left. Paul is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (459).
Home / Away
Lundell
Paul
Home
46.3% (434)
52.5% (516)
Away
42.4% (314)
47.1% (329)
By Period
Lundell
Paul
P1
46.6%
47.6%
P2
39.9%
48.4%
P3
47.1%
54.5%
OT
33.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
41.4%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundell
46.0%▼
49.0%
44.7%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2022 | 3 | 11:51 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 2 | 13:14 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 2 | 12:51 | Defensive | Nick Paul |