Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Paul on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundell 50.7% vs Paul 52.2% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Paul leads 16-14 in 30 meetings
Offensive zone
Lundell 59.0%
Defensive zone
Lundell 52.8%
Neutral zone
Lundell 55.2%
Result
Anton Lundell favored at 55.8%
55.8%
44.2%
Lundell
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
16
(30 meetings)
14
16
Lundell
Paul
Last 10: Lundell 5-5 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
4
4
Lundell
Paul
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
1
4
Lundell
Paul
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lundell
9
8
Lundell
Paul
17 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundell
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (3,486)
52.5% (3,796)
-1.4%
Power Play
55.6% (358)
56.5% (480)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (504)
46.7% (574)
-1.9%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Lundell is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,891).
Lundell shoots left. Paul is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,067).
Home / Away
Lundell
Paul
Home
50.7% (2,304)
52.7% (2,412)
Away
50.9% (2,044)
51.7% (2,439)
By Period
Lundell
Paul
P1
52.0%
53.9%
P2
51.4%
51.0%
P3
49.0%
52.0%
OT
48.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.0%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundell
46.0%▼
49.0%
50.8%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2025 | 3 | 19:27 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 17:27 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 3 | 02:11 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 2 | 19:41 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 2 | 08:05 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 2 | 08:02 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 1 | 05:05 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 2 | 10:28 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 2 | 01:39 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 1 | 00:52 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 3 | 12:19 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 3 | 05:01 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 3 | 00:23 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 2 | 19:23 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 1 | 13:21 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 1 | 00:20 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 3 | 05:48 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 2 | 15:35 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 2 | 18:47 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 1 | 06:19 | Neutral | Nick Paul |