Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Paul on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Lundell wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundell 47.0% vs Paul 53.4% (-7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lundell 66.8%
Defensive zone
Lundell 63.2%
Neutral zone
Lundell 63.1%
Result
Anton Lundell favored at 64.0%
64.0%
36.0%
Lundell
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Lundell
Paul
Last 8: Lundell 3-5 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lundell
Paul
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
2
4
Lundell
Paul
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundell
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (491)
53.8% (753)
-9.0%
Power Play
60.0% (40)
58.9% (90)
+1.1%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (48)
47.4% (78)
+4.7%
On even strength, Paul has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Lundell is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Lundell shoots left. Paul is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (579).
Home / Away
Lundell
Paul
Home
45.5% (319)
54.2% (450)
Away
47.7% (260)
53.3% (471)
By Period
Lundell
Paul
P1
50.8%
58.2%
P2
46.5%
50.6%
P3
41.7%
52.9%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.4%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundell
46.0%▼
49.0%
46.5%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2023 | 1 | 06:19 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Feb 28, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Feb 6, 2023 | 2 | 18:07 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Feb 6, 2023 | 2 | 17:56 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Oct 21, 2022 | 3 | 15:24 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Oct 21, 2022 | 2 | 04:41 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Oct 21, 2022 | 1 | 03:22 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Oct 21, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Paul |