Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.5% vs 53.4%). Lundell wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundell 52.2% vs Monahan 53.1% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 60.4%
Defensive zone
Lundell 55.9%
Neutral zone
Monahan 61.6%
Result
Anton Lundell favored at 50.0%
50.0%
50.0%
Lundell
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Lundell
Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lundell
2
0
Lundell
Monahan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Lundell
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundell
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
53.6% (646)
53.8% (664)
-0.2%
Power Play
53.1% (130)
53.3% (137)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (156)
50.0% (62)
-2.6%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Lundell is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (651).
Lundell shoots left. Monahan is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (562).
Home / Away
Lundell
Monahan
Home
51.6% (498)
54.8% (405)
Away
53.5% (434)
52.2% (458)
By Period
Lundell
Monahan
P1
53.7%
49.6%
P2
55.4%
53.9%
P3
48.7%
55.2%
OT
45.5%
65.0%
Final 5 min
54.2%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundell
54.0%▼
57.0%
52.5%
Monahan
58.0%▲
53.0%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | OT | 02:19 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Dec 6, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 08:28 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |