Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundell 45.3% vs Monahan 52.8% (-8.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 75.2%
Defensive zone
Lundell 71.2%
Neutral zone
Monahan 52.3%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 67.5%
32.5%
67.5%
Lundell
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Lundell
Monahan
Last 6: Lundell 3-3 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
2
3
Lundell
Monahan
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lundell
1
0
Lundell
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundell
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (637)
51.5% (641)
-5.7%
Power Play
58.3% (24)
62.8% (129)
-4.5%
Penalty Kill
32.2% (87)
33.3% (9)
-1.1%
On even strength, Monahan has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Lundell is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (481).
Lundell shoots left. Monahan is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (491).
Home / Away
Lundell
Monahan
Home
46.3% (434)
53.9% (362)
Away
42.4% (314)
52.5% (417)
By Period
Lundell
Monahan
P1
46.6%
48.0%
P2
39.9%
57.0%
P3
47.1%
54.1%
OT
33.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
41.4%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundell
54.0%▼
57.0%
44.7%
Monahan
58.0%▲
53.0%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2022 | 3 | 17:48 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 3 | 17:40 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 1 | 14:06 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 1 | 10:11 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 3 | 18:46 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 1 | 16:42 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |