Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Lundell on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Lundell wins 53.5% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundell 51.6% vs Monahan 52.8% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 56.8%
Defensive zone
Lundell 55.9%
Neutral zone
Monahan 62.1%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 50.2%
49.8%
50.2%
Lundell
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Lundell
Monahan
Last 5: Lundell 3-2 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lundell
1
0
Lundell
Monahan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lundell
2
1
Lundell
Monahan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Lundell
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundell
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (786)
53.2% (823)
-0.5%
Power Play
52.6% (152)
55.3% (159)
-2.7%
Penalty Kill
47.3% (182)
48.4% (95)
-1.1%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Lundell is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (783).
Lundell shoots left. Monahan is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (676).
Home / Away
Lundell
Monahan
Home
51.0% (574)
54.6% (529)
Away
52.6% (546)
51.6% (548)
By Period
Lundell
Monahan
P1
52.9%
49.0%
P2
55.8%
55.4%
P3
47.1%
53.6%
OT
46.2%
61.9%
Final 5 min
50.8%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundell
46.0%▼
49.0%
51.8%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2026 | 3 | 15:02 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 3 | 06:23 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 6, 2025 | OT | 02:19 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Dec 6, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 08:28 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |