Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.9% vs 54.9%). Lundell wins 56.9% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundell 54.4% vs Monahan 54.5% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lundell 52.2%
Defensive zone
Monahan 51.5%
Neutral zone
Monahan 50.8%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
Lundell
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Lundell
Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Lundell
Monahan
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lundell
Monahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundell
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (768)
57.1% (871)
-2.8%
Power Play
65.6% (61)
53.1% (262)
+12.5%
Penalty Kill
51.0% (49)
44.6% (139)
+6.4%
On power play, Lundell has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Lundell is 56.9% vs left-shot opponents (573).
Lundell shoots left. Monahan is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (753).
Home / Away
Lundell
Monahan
Home
57.3% (450)
55.3% (644)
Away
52.3% (428)
54.5% (628)
By Period
Lundell
Monahan
P1
54.3%
53.9%
P2
58.2%
55.3%
P3
52.0%
54.4%
OT
75.0%
76.5%
Final 5 min
60.6%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundell
46.0%▼
49.0%
54.9%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2023 | 3 | 15:26 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 3 | 10:08 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |