Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.0% vs 52.6%). Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Lundell wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundell 52.7% vs Monahan 52.4% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lundell 55.6%
Defensive zone
Lundell 54.7%
Neutral zone
Lundell 51.9%
Result
Anton Lundell favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Lundell
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Lundell
Monahan
Last 6: Lundell 2-4 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
2
Lundell
Monahan
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lundell
1
0
Lundell
Monahan
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
2
Lundell
Monahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundell
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (804)
52.4% (853)
+2.2%
Power Play
50.6% (81)
58.6% (174)
-8.0%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (138)
46.5% (144)
-1.6%
On power play, Monahan has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Lundell is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (701).
Lundell shoots left. Monahan is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (782).
Home / Away
Lundell
Monahan
Home
51.2% (527)
53.4% (624)
Away
54.8% (496)
51.7% (547)
By Period
Lundell
Monahan
P1
53.7%
53.7%
P2
51.7%
52.4%
P3
54.1%
51.6%
OT
20.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
53.2%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundell
46.0%▼
49.0%
53.0%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2024 | 3 | 19:43 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 3 | 17:55 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 3 | 17:21 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 3 | 15:32 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 2 | 00:41 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 1 | 10:18 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |