Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundell 45.3% vs Hertl 52.3% (-7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 62.6%
Defensive zone
Lundell 55.2%
Neutral zone
Hertl 52.8%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 57.7%
42.3%
57.7%
Lundell
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Lundell
Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lundell
Hertl
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Lundell
Hertl
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundell
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (637)
51.6% (1,084)
-5.8%
Power Play
58.3% (24)
61.0% (246)
-2.7%
Penalty Kill
32.2% (87)
44.1% (136)
-11.9%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Lundell is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (481).
Lundell shoots left. Hertl is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (940).
Home / Away
Lundell
Hertl
Home
46.3% (434)
55.2% (696)
Away
42.4% (314)
50.0% (770)
By Period
Lundell
Hertl
P1
46.6%
55.4%
P2
39.9%
54.8%
P3
47.1%
48.9%
OT
33.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
41.4%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundell
46.0%▼
49.0%
44.7%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2022 | 3 | 09:49 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 3 | 01:42 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 3 | 01:26 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Jan 29, 2022 | 2 | 01:31 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |