Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Lundell wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundell 47.0% vs Hertl 54.5% (-8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 62.0%
Defensive zone
Lundell 61.4%
Neutral zone
Lundell 50.5%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 62.0%
38.0%
62.0%
Lundell
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Lundell
Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lundell
Hertl
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundell
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (491)
54.1% (1,117)
-9.3%
Power Play
60.0% (40)
59.8% (296)
+0.2%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (48)
34.4% (32)
+17.7%
On penalty kill, Lundell has a +17.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Lundell is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Lundell shoots left. Hertl is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (883).
Home / Away
Lundell
Hertl
Home
45.5% (319)
54.3% (709)
Away
47.7% (260)
55.3% (736)
By Period
Lundell
Hertl
P1
50.8%
51.6%
P2
46.5%
53.6%
P3
41.7%
58.6%
OT
100.0%
45.5%
Final 5 min
54.4%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundell
46.0%▼
49.0%
46.5%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2022 | 3 | 08:24 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 1 | 01:41 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |