Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Kopitar wins 57.1% vs left-shot opponents — Tkachuk shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 54.8% vs Tkachuk 47.1% (+9.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 59.8%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 91.2%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 65.3%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 70.5%
70.5%
29.5%
Kopitar
Tkachuk
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Kopitar
Tkachuk
Last 5: Kopitar 3-2 Tkachuk
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
1
0
Kopitar
Tkachuk
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Kopitar
Tkachuk
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Tkachuk
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (1,009)
46.9% (226)
+8.3%
Power Play
56.3% (229)
42.0% (81)
+14.3%
Penalty Kill
53.3% (169)
80.0% (5)
-26.7%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +26.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tkachuk shoots left. Kopitar is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (884).
Kopitar shoots left. Tkachuk is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (177).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Tkachuk
Home
55.9% (680)
47.6% (168)
Away
54.5% (727)
44.4% (144)
By Period
Kopitar
Tkachuk
P1
55.4%
49.1%
P2
52.9%
42.9%
P3
56.7%
46.5%
OT
60.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
55.4%
45.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
55.2%
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2020 | 3 | 15:19 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 11, 2020 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 11, 2020 | 2 | 07:50 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 11, 2020 | 2 | 07:37 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 11, 2020 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |