Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Tkachuk on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kopitar wins 58.5% vs left-shot opponents — Tkachuk shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 56.8% vs Tkachuk 51.0% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 75.1%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 84.6%
Neutral zone
Tkachuk 53.4%
Result
Brady Tkachuk favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Kopitar
Tkachuk
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Kopitar
Tkachuk
Last 6: Kopitar 3-3 Tkachuk
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
0
3
Kopitar
Tkachuk
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
2
0
Kopitar
Tkachuk
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kopitar
1
0
Kopitar
Tkachuk
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Tkachuk
Edge
Even Strength
56.9% (1,085)
51.0% (194)
+5.9%
Power Play
68.8% (256)
51.7% (151)
+17.1%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (196)
50.0% (2)
-6.1%
On power play, Kopitar has a +17.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tkachuk shoots left. Kopitar is 58.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,029).
Kopitar shoots left. Tkachuk is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (218).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Tkachuk
Home
58.4% (774)
50.0% (140)
Away
56.0% (763)
52.2% (207)
By Period
Kopitar
Tkachuk
P1
59.4%
54.3%
P2
56.8%
50.0%
P3
55.9%
49.5%
OT
45.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
54.9%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
57.2%
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2024 | 3 | 18:01 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 3 | 17:16 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 3 | 06:48 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 2 | 19:09 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 1 | 19:30 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 1 | 07:54 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |