Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Kopitar on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Kopitar wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — Tkachuk shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 54.8% vs Tkachuk 52.1% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 71.7%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 93.7%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 67.1%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 84.4%
84.4%
15.6%
Kopitar
Tkachuk
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Kopitar
Tkachuk
Last 7: Kopitar 6-1 Tkachuk
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
0
1
Kopitar
Tkachuk
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
6
0
Kopitar
Tkachuk
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Tkachuk
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (1,054)
47.9% (192)
+8.5%
Power Play
57.3% (293)
57.8% (187)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (213)
0.0% (1)
+45.5%
On penalty kill, Kopitar has a +45.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tkachuk shoots left. Kopitar is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,024).
Kopitar shoots left. Tkachuk is 59.6% vs left-shot opponents (208).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Tkachuk
Home
56.1% (786)
56.0% (175)
Away
54.0% (774)
49.8% (205)
By Period
Kopitar
Tkachuk
P1
56.2%
55.0%
P2
55.4%
51.9%
P3
53.0%
47.3%
OT
70.0%
77.8%
Final 5 min
56.1%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
55.1%
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2024 | 3 | 19:15 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 3 | 02:42 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 2 | 18:48 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 2 | 02:42 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 1 | 18:57 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 1 | 07:06 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 1 | 00:46 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |