Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Kopitar on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Kopitar wins 56.9% vs left-shot opponents — Tkachuk shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 55.6% vs Tkachuk 48.6% (+7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 65.2%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 97.3%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 88.0%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 86.9%
86.9%
13.1%
Kopitar
Tkachuk
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Kopitar
Tkachuk
Last 6: Kopitar 5-1 Tkachuk
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
0
1
Kopitar
Tkachuk
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
5
0
Kopitar
Tkachuk
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Tkachuk
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (1,114)
47.5% (421)
+8.9%
Power Play
60.1% (288)
50.3% (336)
+9.8%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (206)
12.5% (8)
+35.1%
On penalty kill, Kopitar has a +35.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tkachuk shoots left. Kopitar is 56.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,025).
Kopitar shoots left. Tkachuk is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (421).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Tkachuk
Home
56.3% (783)
49.9% (389)
Away
55.5% (825)
46.8% (376)
By Period
Kopitar
Tkachuk
P1
57.9%
44.4%
P2
54.5%
51.8%
P3
55.2%
47.8%
OT
57.6%
57.1%
Final 5 min
55.9%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
55.9%
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2022 | 3 | 16:28 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 3 | 15:11 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 3 | 02:19 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 2 | 10:22 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 27, 2022 | 3 | 16:37 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 27, 2022 | 2 | 14:43 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |