Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Kopitar on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 14 meetings). Kopitar wins 55.5% vs left-shot opponents — Tkachuk shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 54.5% vs Tkachuk 50.1% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Kopitar leads 17-10 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 63.9%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 96.7%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 83.8%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 79.9%
79.9%
20.1%
Kopitar
Tkachuk
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
10
(27 meetings)
17
10
Kopitar
Tkachuk
Last 10: Kopitar 6-4 Tkachuk
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
0
6
Kopitar
Tkachuk
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
14
0
Kopitar
Tkachuk
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
3
4
Kopitar
Tkachuk
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Tkachuk
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (16,723)
49.0% (1,560)
+5.6%
Power Play
59.2% (3,582)
51.4% (1,291)
+7.8%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (2,941)
45.0% (20)
+3.4%
On power play, Kopitar has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tkachuk shoots left. Kopitar is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (15,150).
Kopitar shoots left. Tkachuk is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,653).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Tkachuk
Home
55.3% (11,643)
50.7% (1,428)
Away
53.7% (11,651)
49.5% (1,443)
By Period
Kopitar
Tkachuk
P1
54.5%
49.4%
P2
54.9%
51.3%
P3
53.9%
49.3%
OT
59.2%
57.1%
Final 5 min
54.9%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
54.5%
Tkachuk
56.0%▼
60.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2024 | 3 | 18:01 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 3 | 17:16 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 3 | 06:48 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 2 | 19:09 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 1 | 19:30 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 1 | 07:54 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 3 | 19:15 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 3 | 02:42 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 2 | 18:48 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 2 | 02:42 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 1 | 18:57 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 1 | 07:06 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 1 | 00:46 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 3 | 16:28 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 3 | 15:11 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 3 | 02:19 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 2 | 10:22 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 27, 2022 | 3 | 16:37 | Offensive | Brady Tkachuk |
| Nov 27, 2022 | 2 | 14:43 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 27, 2021 | 3 | 18:49 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |