Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Kopitar on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kopitar wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Ryan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 56.4% vs Ryan 54.9% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kopitar 83.6%
Defensive zone
Ryan 57.0%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 52.5%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 73.5%
73.5%
26.5%
Kopitar
Ryan
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Kopitar
Ryan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
3
0
Kopitar
Ryan
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
0
1
Kopitar
Ryan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Ryan
Edge
Even Strength
57.6% (1,070)
60.2% (387)
-2.6%
Power Play
60.6% (264)
28.6% (7)
+32.0%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (175)
43.2% (118)
+3.7%
On power play, Kopitar has a +32.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ryan shoots right. Kopitar is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (593).
Kopitar shoots left. Ryan is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (370).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Ryan
Home
57.2% (778)
56.7% (254)
Away
56.5% (731)
55.0% (258)
By Period
Kopitar
Ryan
P1
56.3%
56.9%
P2
57.1%
51.7%
P3
57.0%
59.2%
OT
59.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
57.6%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
56.9%
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2021 | 3 | 15:42 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 5, 2021 | 3 | 13:27 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 5, 2021 | 2 | 08:06 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 5, 2021 | 2 | 01:25 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |