Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Kopitar wins 54.2% vs right-shot opponents — Ryan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 55.6% vs Ryan 50.0% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ryan 50.1%
Defensive zone
Ryan 89.3%
Neutral zone
Ryan 66.6%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 82.8%
17.2%
82.8%
Kopitar
Ryan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Kopitar
Ryan
Last 6: Kopitar 2-4 Ryan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
1
0
Kopitar
Ryan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
4
Kopitar
Ryan
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Ryan
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (1,114)
50.9% (344)
+5.5%
Power Play
60.1% (288)
75.0% (4)
-14.9%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (206)
45.3% (86)
+2.3%
On power play, Ryan has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ryan shoots right. Kopitar is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (583).
Kopitar shoots left. Ryan is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (336).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Ryan
Home
56.3% (783)
53.7% (214)
Away
55.5% (825)
46.4% (220)
By Period
Kopitar
Ryan
P1
57.9%
45.0%
P2
54.5%
50.0%
P3
55.2%
54.6%
Final 5 min
55.9%
45.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
55.9%
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2023 | 3 | 02:36 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 2 | 16:57 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 9, 2023 | 2 | 07:08 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 16, 2022 | 2 | 15:09 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 16, 2022 | 1 | 11:41 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 16, 2022 | 1 | 08:43 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |