Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.5% vs 55.3%). Look for Kopitar on offensive-zone draws (65% H2H, 26 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 54.5% vs Ryan 55.2% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Kopitar leads 28-26 in 54 meetings
Offensive zone
Kopitar 64.8%
Defensive zone
Ryan 52.1%
Neutral zone
Ryan 50.1%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 56.2%
56.2%
43.8%
Kopitar
Ryan
Head-to-Head Record
28
-
26
(54 meetings)
28
26
Kopitar
Ryan
Last 10: Kopitar 7-3 Ryan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
17
9
Kopitar
Ryan
26 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
9
15
Kopitar
Ryan
24 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Kopitar
Ryan
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Ryan
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (16,723)
56.6% (4,102)
-2.0%
Power Play
59.2% (3,582)
53.2% (342)
+6.0%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (2,941)
47.8% (649)
+0.6%
On power play, Kopitar has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ryan shoots right. Kopitar is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (8,141).
Kopitar shoots left. Ryan is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,676).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Ryan
Home
55.3% (11,643)
56.2% (2,559)
Away
53.7% (11,651)
54.4% (2,534)
By Period
Kopitar
Ryan
P1
54.5%
55.1%
P2
54.9%
54.7%
P3
53.9%
56.0%
OT
59.2%
58.3%
Final 5 min
54.9%
52.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
54.5%
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2024 | 3 | 14:36 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 1 | 01:40 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 26, 2024 | 3 | 19:33 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 26, 2024 | 2 | 19:54 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 26, 2024 | 2 | 09:08 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 26, 2024 | 2 | 04:05 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 2 | 01:11 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 1 | 06:48 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 2 | 13:33 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 2 | 01:32 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 1 | 06:52 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 3 | 02:36 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 2 | 16:57 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 9, 2023 | 2 | 07:08 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 16, 2022 | 2 | 15:09 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 16, 2022 | 1 | 11:41 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 16, 2022 | 1 | 08:43 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 5, 2021 | 3 | 15:42 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 5, 2021 | 3 | 13:27 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 5, 2021 | 2 | 08:06 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |