Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.1% vs 55.7%). Look for Kopitar on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Kopitar wins 56.0% vs right-shot opponents — Ryan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 54.8% vs Ryan 54.6% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Kopitar leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Kopitar 83.8%
Defensive zone
Ryan 69.3%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 52.6%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 69.3%
69.3%
30.7%
Kopitar
Ryan
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Kopitar
Ryan
Last 10: Kopitar 7-3 Ryan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
7
1
Kopitar
Ryan
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
0
3
Kopitar
Ryan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Ryan
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (1,054)
60.8% (263)
-4.4%
Power Play
57.3% (293)
100.0% (1)
-42.7%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (213)
46.2% (145)
-0.7%
On power play, Ryan has a +42.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ryan shoots right. Kopitar is 56.0% vs right-shot opponents (536).
Kopitar shoots left. Ryan is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Ryan
Home
56.1% (786)
56.7% (201)
Away
54.0% (774)
54.8% (208)
By Period
Kopitar
Ryan
P1
56.2%
56.7%
P2
55.4%
56.8%
P3
53.0%
53.7%
Final 5 min
56.1%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
55.1%
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2024 | 3 | 14:36 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 28, 2024 | 1 | 01:40 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 26, 2024 | 3 | 19:33 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 26, 2024 | 2 | 19:54 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 26, 2024 | 2 | 09:08 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 26, 2024 | 2 | 04:05 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 2 | 01:11 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 1 | 06:48 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 2 | 13:33 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 2 | 01:32 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 1 | 06:52 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |