Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Kopitar on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Kopitar wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 52.9% vs Toews 59.0% (-6.6%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 10-10 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Toews 54.5%
Defensive zone
Toews 51.8%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 51.0%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
Kopitar
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
10
(20 meetings)
10
10
Kopitar
Toews
Last 10: Kopitar 5-5 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Kopitar
Toews
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
4
2
Kopitar
Toews
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
4
6
Kopitar
Toews
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (700)
57.3% (736)
-3.6%
Power Play
51.7% (120)
71.4% (133)
-19.7%
Penalty Kill
51.5% (68)
66.1% (62)
-14.6%
On power play, Toews has a +19.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Kopitar is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (668).
Kopitar shoots left. Toews is 60.8% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Toews
Home
55.3% (414)
61.0% (479)
Away
51.5% (474)
58.8% (454)
By Period
Kopitar
Toews
P1
54.4%
61.3%
P2
54.0%
57.9%
P3
50.7%
59.3%
OT
70.0%
73.3%
Final 5 min
50.5%
60.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
53.3%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
59.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2013 | 3 | 19:26 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 25, 2013 | 3 | 18:28 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 25, 2013 | 3 | 08:06 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 25, 2013 | 3 | 05:01 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 25, 2013 | 2 | 18:11 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 25, 2013 | 2 | 17:57 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 25, 2013 | 2 | 15:39 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 25, 2013 | 2 | 03:31 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 25, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 25, 2013 | 1 | 16:22 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 25, 2013 | 1 | 16:14 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 25, 2013 | 1 | 09:34 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 25, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 17, 2013 | 3 | 09:53 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 17, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 17, 2013 | 2 | 19:16 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 17, 2013 | 1 | 17:26 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 17, 2013 | 1 | 09:12 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 17, 2013 | 1 | 06:29 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Feb 17, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |