Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Kopitar on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Kopitar wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 55.6% vs Toews 60.3% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Kopitar leads 9-6 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Toews 79.6%
Defensive zone
Toews 62.3%
Neutral zone
Toews 81.9%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 73.4%
26.6%
73.4%
Kopitar
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
6
(15 meetings)
9
6
Kopitar
Toews
Last 10: Kopitar 6-4 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
1
3
Kopitar
Toews
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
5
1
Kopitar
Toews
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kopitar
3
2
Kopitar
Toews
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (711)
62.5% (696)
-7.6%
Power Play
64.3% (207)
59.6% (141)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (150)
46.9% (32)
+3.8%
On even strength, Toews has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Kopitar is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (724).
Kopitar shoots left. Toews is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (577).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Toews
Home
56.8% (533)
60.9% (435)
Away
55.3% (535)
62.0% (434)
By Period
Kopitar
Toews
P1
55.9%
59.8%
P2
57.1%
65.7%
P3
55.4%
58.8%
OT
55.6%
80.0%
Final 5 min
56.0%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
56.1%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
61.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 18:55 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 18:14 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 17:27 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 17:23 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 15:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 12:10 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 06:13 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 1 | 06:26 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 12:14 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 12:30 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 00:08 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 14:18 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 11:44 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |