Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Kopitar on defensive-zone draws (64% H2H, 98 meetings). Kopitar wins 55.5% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 54.5% vs Toews 57.9% (-3.4%)
H2H factor
Kopitar leads 148-146 in 294 meetings
Offensive zone
Toews 59.3%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 56.3%
Neutral zone
Toews 54.4%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 52.6%
47.4%
52.6%
Kopitar
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
148
-
146
(294 meetings)
148
146
Kopitar
Toews
Last 10: Kopitar 6-4 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
43
63
Kopitar
Toews
106 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
63
35
Kopitar
Toews
98 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
42
48
Kopitar
Toews
90 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (16,723)
57.2% (13,047)
-2.6%
Power Play
59.2% (3,582)
63.3% (3,252)
-4.1%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (2,941)
53.6% (1,810)
-5.2%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Kopitar is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (15,150).
Kopitar shoots left. Toews is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (11,653).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Toews
Home
55.3% (11,643)
59.7% (9,192)
Away
53.7% (11,651)
56.1% (8,948)
By Period
Kopitar
Toews
P1
54.5%
58.6%
P2
54.9%
57.8%
P3
53.9%
57.3%
OT
59.2%
58.9%
Final 5 min
54.9%
58.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
54.5%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
57.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 18:55 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 18:14 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 17:27 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 17:23 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 15:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 12:10 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 06:13 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 4, 2025 | 1 | 06:26 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 12:14 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 12:30 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 00:08 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 14:18 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 11:44 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 22, 2023 | 3 | 19:37 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 22, 2023 | 3 | 10:21 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 22, 2023 | 3 | 07:09 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 22, 2023 | 3 | 03:55 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 22, 2023 | 2 | 17:57 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |