Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Kopitar wins 59.0% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 56.4% vs Toews 58.4% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Kopitar 59.4%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 51.3%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 56.1%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Kopitar
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
8
(13 meetings)
5
8
Kopitar
Toews
Last 10: Kopitar 3-7 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
3
1
Kopitar
Toews
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Toews
2
6
Kopitar
Toews
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
0
1
Kopitar
Toews
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
57.6% (1,070)
58.0% (901)
-0.4%
Power Play
60.6% (264)
69.5% (226)
-8.9%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (175)
51.7% (209)
-4.8%
On power play, Toews has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Kopitar is 59.0% vs left-shot opponents (916).
Kopitar shoots left. Toews is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (821).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Toews
Home
57.2% (778)
59.3% (637)
Away
56.5% (731)
58.7% (699)
By Period
Kopitar
Toews
P1
56.3%
61.5%
P2
57.1%
55.2%
P3
57.0%
60.0%
OT
59.5%
70.6%
Final 5 min
57.6%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
56.9%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
59.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2022 | 3 | 07:09 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 3 | 07:05 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 3 | 06:46 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 2 | 17:25 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 2 | 17:14 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 2 | 00:45 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 1 | 19:03 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 1 | 04:55 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 3 | 16:42 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 12, 2022 | 3 | 01:31 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 3 | 19:44 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 3 | 15:37 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 24, 2022 | 3 | 10:29 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |