Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings). Kopitar wins 56.9% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 55.6% vs Toews 61.9% (-7.2%)
H2H factor
Toews leads 11-11 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Toews 55.9%
Defensive zone
Toews 54.9%
Neutral zone
Toews 57.7%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 55.7%
44.3%
55.7%
Kopitar
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
11
(22 meetings)
11
11
Kopitar
Toews
Last 10: Kopitar 4-6 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
2
7
Kopitar
Toews
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
7
3
Kopitar
Toews
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kopitar
2
1
Kopitar
Toews
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (1,114)
61.1% (650)
-4.7%
Power Play
60.1% (288)
71.9% (192)
-11.8%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (206)
59.6% (99)
-12.0%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Kopitar is 56.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,025).
Kopitar shoots left. Toews is 60.7% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Toews
Home
56.3% (783)
64.8% (560)
Away
55.5% (825)
60.6% (381)
By Period
Kopitar
Toews
P1
57.9%
62.3%
P2
54.5%
63.9%
P3
55.2%
62.8%
OT
57.6%
70.0%
Final 5 min
55.9%
60.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
55.9%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
63.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2023 | 3 | 19:37 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 22, 2023 | 3 | 10:21 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 22, 2023 | 3 | 07:09 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 22, 2023 | 3 | 03:55 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 22, 2023 | 2 | 17:57 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 10, 2022 | OT | 03:38 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 3 | 17:25 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 3 | 13:07 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 3 | 09:15 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 3 | 09:11 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 3 | 04:55 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 2 | 10:17 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 2 | 06:31 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 2 | 02:31 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 1 | 18:25 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 3 | 00:28 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 2 | 16:49 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 2 | 16:42 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 2 | 13:46 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 2 | 13:38 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |