Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Kopitar on defensive-zone draws (79% H2H, 14 meetings). Kopitar wins 55.7% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 54.8% vs Toews 56.0% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Kopitar leads 19-11 in 30 meetings
Offensive zone
Toews 78.4%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 50.9%
Neutral zone
Toews 67.0%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 61.7%
38.3%
61.7%
Kopitar
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
11
(30 meetings)
19
11
Kopitar
Toews
Last 10: Kopitar 6-4 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
5
3
Kopitar
Toews
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
11
3
Kopitar
Toews
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
3
5
Kopitar
Toews
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (1,380)
56.5% (1,310)
-1.0%
Power Play
56.6% (212)
59.7% (325)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
51.1% (227)
51.0% (245)
+0.1%
On power play, Toews has a +3.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Kopitar is 55.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,204).
Kopitar shoots left. Toews is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,218).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Toews
Home
55.9% (893)
56.6% (927)
Away
54.3% (926)
56.0% (953)
By Period
Kopitar
Toews
P1
56.2%
56.3%
P2
54.5%
55.8%
P3
54.2%
57.3%
OT
62.1%
48.6%
Final 5 min
55.3%
57.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
55.1%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2019 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 30, 2019 | 3 | 17:20 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 30, 2019 | 3 | 14:39 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 30, 2019 | 3 | 05:56 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 30, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 30, 2019 | 2 | 09:16 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 30, 2019 | 2 | 02:25 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 30, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 30, 2019 | 1 | 15:49 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 30, 2019 | 1 | 14:40 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 30, 2019 | 1 | 14:29 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 30, 2019 | 1 | 11:25 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 2, 2019 | 3 | 17:34 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 2, 2019 | 3 | 10:40 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 2, 2019 | 3 | 08:51 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 2, 2019 | 3 | 00:20 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 2, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 2, 2019 | 2 | 13:28 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 2, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Mar 2, 2019 | 1 | 10:37 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |