Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Kastelic on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Kopitar wins 54.5% vs right-shot opponents — Kastelic shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 55.6% vs Kastelic 58.3% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kopitar 84.6%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 66.4%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 52.5%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
Kopitar
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Kopitar
Kastelic
Last 6: Kopitar 2-4 Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
2
0
Kopitar
Kastelic
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
0
4
Kopitar
Kastelic
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (711)
61.2% (340)
-6.3%
Power Play
64.3% (207)
83.3% (6)
-19.0%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (150)
56.0% (141)
-5.3%
On power play, Kastelic has a +19.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Kopitar is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Kopitar shoots left. Kastelic is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (405).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Kastelic
Home
56.8% (533)
60.9% (233)
Away
55.3% (535)
59.1% (254)
By Period
Kopitar
Kastelic
P1
55.9%
58.6%
P2
57.1%
58.7%
P3
55.4%
63.1%
OT
55.6%
53.8%
Final 5 min
56.0%
67.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
56.1%
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
60.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 03:15 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Nov 21, 2025 | 3 | 16:18 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Nov 21, 2025 | 3 | 09:46 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 21, 2025 | 3 | 03:59 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Nov 21, 2025 | 2 | 06:52 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 21, 2025 | 1 | 09:29 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |