Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Kastelic on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Kopitar wins 54.6% vs right-shot opponents — Kastelic shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 55.6% vs Kastelic 58.3% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kopitar 83.2%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 69.0%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 50.2%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Kopitar
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Kopitar
Kastelic
Last 6: Kopitar 2-4 Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
2
0
Kopitar
Kastelic
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
0
4
Kopitar
Kastelic
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
54.8% (691)
61.2% (340)
-6.4%
Power Play
64.9% (205)
83.3% (6)
-18.4%
Penalty Kill
50.3% (149)
56.0% (141)
-5.7%
On power play, Kastelic has a +18.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Kopitar is 54.6% vs right-shot opponents (335).
Kopitar shoots left. Kastelic is 58.3% vs left-shot opponents (405).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Kastelic
Home
56.8% (533)
60.9% (233)
Away
55.5% (512)
59.1% (254)
By Period
Kopitar
Kastelic
P1
55.7%
58.6%
P2
57.0%
58.7%
P3
56.0%
63.1%
OT
52.9%
53.8%
Final 5 min
56.6%
67.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
66.0%▲
52.5%
56.2%
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
60.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 03:15 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Nov 21, 2025 | 3 | 16:18 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Nov 21, 2025 | 3 | 09:46 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 21, 2025 | 3 | 03:59 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Nov 21, 2025 | 2 | 06:52 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 21, 2025 | 1 | 09:29 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |