Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.1% vs 54.4%). Kopitar wins 56.0% vs right-shot opponents — Kastelic shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 54.8% vs Kastelic 53.5% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kopitar 53.3%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 54.8%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 55.6%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 53.3%
53.3%
46.7%
Kopitar
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Kopitar
Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
1
0
Kopitar
Kastelic
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (1,054)
53.4% (337)
+3.0%
Power Play
57.3% (293)
100.0% (4)
-42.7%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (213)
75.0% (8)
-29.5%
On power play, Kastelic has a +42.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Kopitar is 56.0% vs right-shot opponents (536).
Kopitar shoots left. Kastelic is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (246).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Kastelic
Home
56.1% (786)
56.2% (162)
Away
54.0% (774)
52.9% (187)
By Period
Kopitar
Kastelic
P1
56.2%
58.2%
P2
55.4%
58.8%
P3
53.0%
45.4%
Final 5 min
56.1%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
55.1%
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2024 | 1 | 09:07 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |