Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Kopitar wins 54.5% vs right-shot opponents — Kastelic shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 56.8% vs Kastelic 53.4% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kopitar 62.5%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 82.1%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 69.6%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 75.9%
24.1%
75.9%
Kopitar
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Kopitar
Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
0
1
Kopitar
Kastelic
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kastelic
0
1
Kopitar
Kastelic
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
56.9% (1,085)
55.4% (345)
+1.5%
Power Play
68.8% (256)
50.0% (4)
+18.8%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (196)
35.3% (17)
+8.6%
On power play, Kopitar has a +18.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Kopitar is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (508).
Kopitar shoots left. Kastelic is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Kastelic
Home
58.4% (774)
50.6% (162)
Away
56.0% (763)
57.4% (204)
By Period
Kopitar
Kastelic
P1
59.4%
61.5%
P2
56.8%
52.8%
P3
55.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.9%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
57.2%
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2024 | 3 | 00:32 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |