Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Kastelic on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 54.5% vs Kastelic 56.5% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Kastelic leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Kopitar 83.2%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 67.5%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 55.4%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 50.0%
50.0%
50.0%
Kopitar
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Kopitar
Kastelic
Last 10: Kopitar 3-7 Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
3
0
Kopitar
Kastelic
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
0
6
Kopitar
Kastelic
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kastelic
0
1
Kopitar
Kastelic
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (16,723)
57.0% (1,613)
-2.4%
Power Play
59.2% (3,582)
80.0% (25)
-20.8%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (2,941)
53.6% (274)
-5.2%
On power play, Kastelic has a +20.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Kopitar is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (8,141).
Kopitar shoots left. Kastelic is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,420).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Kastelic
Home
55.3% (11,643)
58.9% (895)
Away
53.7% (11,651)
55.1% (1,017)
By Period
Kopitar
Kastelic
P1
54.5%
58.5%
P2
54.9%
56.9%
P3
53.9%
55.3%
OT
59.2%
53.8%
Final 5 min
54.9%
59.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
54.5%
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 03:15 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Nov 21, 2025 | 3 | 16:18 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Nov 21, 2025 | 3 | 09:46 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 21, 2025 | 3 | 03:59 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Nov 21, 2025 | 2 | 06:52 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 21, 2025 | 1 | 09:29 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 3 | 00:32 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 1 | 09:07 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 3 | 04:31 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |