Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Kopitar wins 54.2% vs right-shot opponents — Kastelic shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 55.6% vs Kastelic 55.9% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kopitar 80.0%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 71.1%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 53.4%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 71.1%
28.9%
71.1%
Kopitar
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Kopitar
Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
0
1
Kopitar
Kastelic
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (1,114)
58.0% (476)
-1.6%
Power Play
60.1% (288)
75.0% (8)
-14.9%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (206)
50.9% (106)
-3.3%
On power play, Kastelic has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Kopitar is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (583).
Kopitar shoots left. Kastelic is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (391).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Kastelic
Home
56.3% (783)
64.9% (265)
Away
55.5% (825)
50.5% (325)
By Period
Kopitar
Kastelic
P1
57.9%
58.5%
P2
54.5%
55.6%
P3
55.2%
56.8%
Final 5 min
55.9%
62.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
55.9%
Kastelic
54.0%▼
60.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2022 | 3 | 04:31 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |