Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 12 meetings). Kopitar wins 56.9% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 55.6% vs Backlund 50.8% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Backlund leads 16-10 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Backlund 74.3%
Defensive zone
Backlund 67.5%
Neutral zone
Backlund 71.1%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 71.3%
28.7%
71.3%
Kopitar
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
16
(26 meetings)
10
16
Kopitar
Backlund
Last 10: Kopitar 4-6 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
3
5
Kopitar
Backlund
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
4
2
Kopitar
Backlund
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
3
9
Kopitar
Backlund
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (1,114)
51.9% (1,083)
+4.5%
Power Play
60.1% (288)
51.7% (120)
+8.4%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (206)
44.3% (183)
+3.3%
On power play, Kopitar has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Kopitar is 56.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,025).
Kopitar shoots left. Backlund is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (824).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Backlund
Home
56.3% (783)
51.9% (673)
Away
55.5% (825)
49.9% (713)
By Period
Kopitar
Backlund
P1
57.9%
51.4%
P2
54.5%
50.5%
P3
55.2%
51.4%
OT
57.6%
35.0%
Final 5 min
55.9%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
55.9%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2023 | 3 | 14:41 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 3 | 00:10 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 2 | 18:28 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 2 | 13:28 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 2 | 00:04 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 1 | 04:26 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 28, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 20, 2023 | 3 | 09:01 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 20, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 20, 2023 | 2 | 16:09 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 20, 2023 | 2 | 01:44 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 22, 2022 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 3 | 16:08 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 1 | 19:04 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 1 | 19:00 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 1 | 15:35 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 1 | 07:26 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 14, 2022 | 3 | 18:41 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |