Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Kopitar on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Kopitar wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 55.6% vs Backlund 49.7% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
Kopitar leads 10-6 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Kopitar 92.8%
Defensive zone
Backlund 51.1%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 69.4%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 70.7%
70.7%
29.3%
Kopitar
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
6
(16 meetings)
10
6
Kopitar
Backlund
Last 10: Kopitar 6-4 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
6
1
Kopitar
Backlund
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
3
4
Kopitar
Backlund
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kopitar
Backlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (711)
50.1% (891)
+4.8%
Power Play
64.3% (207)
53.1% (64)
+11.2%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (150)
47.8% (278)
+2.9%
On power play, Kopitar has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Kopitar is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (724).
Kopitar shoots left. Backlund is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (871).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Backlund
Home
56.8% (533)
48.1% (580)
Away
55.3% (535)
51.1% (653)
By Period
Kopitar
Backlund
P1
55.9%
45.1%
P2
57.1%
54.7%
P3
55.4%
49.0%
OT
55.6%
46.2%
Final 5 min
56.0%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
56.1%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 10:03 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 00:24 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 14:27 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 11:03 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 03:11 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 17:58 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 17:55 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 06:14 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 17:18 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 17:00 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 13:44 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 06:20 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 04:38 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 01:31 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 17:37 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 07:53 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |