Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Kopitar on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Kopitar wins 58.5% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 56.8% vs Backlund 48.5% (+8.8%)
H2H factor
Kopitar leads 17-11 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Kopitar 92.6%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 58.1%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 80.8%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 75.2%
75.2%
24.8%
Kopitar
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
11
(28 meetings)
17
11
Kopitar
Backlund
Last 10: Kopitar 7-3 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
5
1
Kopitar
Backlund
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
4
6
Kopitar
Backlund
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kopitar
8
4
Kopitar
Backlund
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
56.9% (1,085)
50.4% (1,032)
+6.5%
Power Play
68.8% (256)
52.3% (107)
+16.5%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (196)
40.6% (313)
+3.3%
On power play, Kopitar has a +16.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Kopitar is 58.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,029).
Kopitar shoots left. Backlund is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,014).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Backlund
Home
58.4% (774)
48.7% (749)
Away
56.0% (763)
48.1% (703)
By Period
Kopitar
Backlund
P1
59.4%
50.4%
P2
56.8%
50.1%
P3
55.9%
45.8%
OT
45.5%
30.8%
Final 5 min
54.9%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
57.2%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2025 | 3 | 07:43 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 17, 2025 | 2 | 15:18 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Apr 17, 2025 | 2 | 08:32 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Apr 17, 2025 | 2 | 07:40 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Apr 17, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Apr 17, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 3 | 19:48 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 3 | 10:57 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 3 | 06:55 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 3 | 04:36 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 3 | 00:17 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 2 | 14:53 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 2 | 04:37 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 00:57 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 11, 2024 | 3 | 19:01 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Nov 11, 2024 | 3 | 18:03 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 11, 2024 | 3 | 17:29 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |