Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (65% H2H, 17 meetings). Kopitar wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 54.8% vs Backlund 50.3% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Backlund leads 21-20 in 41 meetings
Offensive zone
Kopitar 61.5%
Defensive zone
Backlund 77.4%
Neutral zone
Backlund 60.1%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 58.3%
41.7%
58.3%
Kopitar
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
21
(41 meetings)
20
21
Kopitar
Backlund
Last 10: Kopitar 5-5 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
9
8
Kopitar
Backlund
17 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
6
11
Kopitar
Backlund
17 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kopitar
5
2
Kopitar
Backlund
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (1,054)
51.0% (1,205)
+5.4%
Power Play
57.3% (293)
59.3% (108)
-2.0%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (213)
42.3% (234)
+3.2%
On even strength, Kopitar has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. Kopitar is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,024).
Kopitar shoots left. Backlund is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,012).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Backlund
Home
56.1% (786)
51.2% (782)
Away
54.0% (774)
49.4% (765)
By Period
Kopitar
Backlund
P1
56.2%
51.5%
P2
55.4%
49.8%
P3
53.0%
49.9%
OT
70.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
56.1%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
55.1%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2024 | 3 | 06:59 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 2 | 11:31 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 2 | 11:18 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 2 | 11:05 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 2 | 11:02 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 1 | 13:50 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 1 | 06:22 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 18:58 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 18:08 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 04:27 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 01:52 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 17:10 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 05:40 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 00:12 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 1 | 17:48 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 1 | 16:42 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 1 | 13:59 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 1 | 09:21 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |