Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +11.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Kopitar on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Kopitar wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 56.4% vs MacKinnon 45.9% (+11.5%)
H2H factor
MacKinnon leads 9-9 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 55.1%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 57.6%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 56.8%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 56.4%
43.6%
56.4%
Kopitar
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
9
(18 meetings)
9
9
Kopitar
MacKinnon
Last 10: Kopitar 5-5 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
5
1
Kopitar
MacKinnon
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
3
Kopitar
MacKinnon
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
4
5
Kopitar
MacKinnon
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
57.6% (1,070)
45.8% (755)
+11.8%
Power Play
60.6% (264)
48.3% (60)
+12.3%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (175)
27.6% (29)
+19.3%
On penalty kill, Kopitar has a +19.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Kopitar is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (593).
Kopitar shoots left. MacKinnon is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (636).
Home / Away
Kopitar
MacKinnon
Home
57.2% (778)
49.5% (396)
Away
56.5% (731)
41.7% (448)
By Period
Kopitar
MacKinnon
P1
56.3%
50.2%
P2
57.1%
43.8%
P3
57.0%
41.4%
OT
59.5%
66.7%
Final 5 min
57.6%
41.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
56.9%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
45.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2022 | 3 | 06:11 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Apr 13, 2022 | 3 | 03:45 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Apr 13, 2022 | 2 | 12:49 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 13, 2022 | 2 | 12:41 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 13, 2022 | 2 | 01:15 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Apr 13, 2022 | 2 | 01:04 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Apr 13, 2022 | 1 | 07:50 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Apr 13, 2022 | 1 | 03:33 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 2 | 05:40 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 2 | 03:29 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 2 | 03:11 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 1 | 10:24 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 1 | 02:19 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 1 | 02:15 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 1 | 00:05 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 15, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |